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Industrial trucks to face new competition from AGVs
工業搬運車面臨來自AGV的新競爭

Despite relatively good performance in 2015 with a market value totalling $27.4 billion, industrial trucks and lifts are facing new competition from automatic guided vehicles (AGVs). According to the latest IHS Markit Materials Handling Automation Opportunities Report, the compound-average annual growth rate (CAGR) of AGV revenues is forecast to be over nine percent from 2015 to 2020, much higher than that for industrial trucks and lifts over the same time period.

盡管2015年的業績相當不錯，市場總值達274億美元，但工業搬運車和起重機正面臨著來自自動導向車（AGV）的新競爭。根據最新的《IHS Markit材料處理自動化機會報告》，從2015年至2020年，AGV銷售的復合年平均增長率（CAGR）預計超過9％，遠遠高于工業搬運車和起重機的同期。

Currently, AGVs are used mostly in automotive production as they can be programmed for custom tasks. For example, AGVs are commonly used to haul custom parts for automobiles. While this would have been a logistics nightmare in the past, it is now feasible with AGVs and modern software management systems.

目前，AGV主要用于汽車生產，因為它們可以被編程用于自定義任務。例如，AGV通常用于運輸汽車的定制部件。盡管在以往這是一個物流噩夢，但通過AGV和現代軟件管理系統，現在切實可行。

The current outlook is that sales revenues from AGVs will not overtake those of conventional industrial trucks; there will be a minor disruption to truck sales in some regions: many end-users are choosing AGVs as replacements rather than buying new fleets of industrial trucks. They are also investing heavily in the management software that controls entire fleets of AGVs that work alongside legacy production lines and other material handling machinery such as automated storage and retrieval systems (AS/RS).  The main reason for the shift to AGVs is that they have been shown to be more cost-effective in the long term, providing a better return on investment for end-users. Other benefits of AGVs include higher output and smaller error rates than with human-operated industrial trucks. The increasing emphasis on smart manufacturing will also help to stimulate growth in the market.

目前看來，AGV的銷售收入不會超過傳統工業搬運車的銷售收入，在某些地區將會對搬運車銷售造成輕微干擾：不少最終用戶選擇AGV作為替代品，而不是購買新的工業搬運車隊。他們還大量投資于管理整個AGV車隊的管理軟件，與傳統生產線以及諸如自動存儲和檢索系統（AS / RS）等其他材料處理機械一起工作。轉向AGV的主要原因是長期看來它們更具成本效益，可以為最終用戶提供更好的投資回報。AGV的其他優點包括比人工操作工業搬運車更高的產量和更小的錯誤率。越來越強調智能制造也將有助于刺激市場的增長。

Despite the stronger market growth of AGVs, industrial trucks and lifts will continue to be the biggest product category for material handling equipment. Sales of industrial trucks will be driven by companies that are reshoring in developed areas such as Mexico that use many industrial trucks in warehouses. Furthermore, the development of alternative fuel sources, like electric traction and hydrogen fuel cells, have reduced the carbon footprint of industrial trucks, making them a greener solution.

盡管AGV的市場增長強勁，但工業搬運車起重機將繼續是材料處理設備最大的產品類別。推動工業搬運車銷售的將是回流到墨西哥等發達地區的公司，這些地區在倉庫中使用大量的工業搬運車。此外，替代燃料源（例如電牽引和氫燃料電池）的開發減少了工業搬運車的碳排放，使其成為更環保的解決方案。