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Since the third quarter of 2014, the low-voltage motor market has struggled amid the numerous economic and political headwinds. In fact, according to the latest IHS Markit information, the global low-voltage motor market will decline nearly 13 percent, from $11.8 billion in sales in 2015 to $10.3 billion in 2017.

自2014年第三季度以來(lái)，低壓電機(jī)市場(chǎng)一直歷經(jīng)種種經(jīng)濟(jì)和政治動(dòng)蕩。實(shí)際上，根據(jù)IHS Markit的最新報(bào)告，全球低壓電機(jī)市場(chǎng)將下降約13％，銷(xiāo)售額從2015年的118億美元回落到2017年的103億美元。

Despite this challenging environment, there are opportunities for motor suppliers that can adapt to the impending technological trends suppliers require. For example, motor end-users are increasingly interested in energy-efficient motors that will live longer and reduce full lifecycle costs. As the industrial internet of things (IIoT) continues to grow in customer recognition and adoption, motor manufacturers are also starting to find ways to leverage this trend to offset weak sales.

雖然市場(chǎng)環(huán)境充滿挑戰(zhàn)，但對(duì)那些能夠適應(yīng)即將到來(lái)的技術(shù)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)的電機(jī)供應(yīng)商而言，市場(chǎng)機(jī)會(huì)仍在。例如，終端用戶(hù)對(duì)高效節(jié)能電機(jī)的關(guān)注度越來(lái)越高，因?yàn)楦咝щ姍C(jī)的使用壽命更長(zhǎng)，全生命周期成本得以降低。隨著工業(yè)物聯(lián)網(wǎng)（IIoT）的認(rèn)可度和應(yīng)用率不斷上升，電機(jī)制造商也開(kāi)始想辦法利用這一趨勢(shì)以抵消銷(xiāo)售的疲軟。

While there are reasons to be optimistic, the current political turmoil certainly harms growth prospects for the entire industrial automation equipment market throughout the next two-to-three years. As the global economy adjusts and recovers from shocking events, such as the British exit of the European Union and stalling oil prices, the low-voltage motor market revenue will decline very slightly, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of negative 0.2 percent from 2015 to 2020. However, a strong recovery is expected to begin in 2018.

盡管我們有理由感到樂(lè)觀，但目前的政治動(dòng)蕩無(wú)疑損害了未來(lái)兩到三年整個(gè)工業(yè)自動(dòng)化設(shè)備市場(chǎng)的增長(zhǎng)前景。隨著全球經(jīng)濟(jì)從英國(guó)脫歐和油價(jià)停滯等重大事件得到調(diào)整和復(fù)蘇，低壓電機(jī)市場(chǎng)的收入將輕微下降，從2015年至2020年的年復(fù)合增長(zhǎng)率為負(fù)0.2%，但預(yù)計(jì)從2018年開(kāi)始強(qiáng)勁復(fù)蘇。

While heavy industries exposed to oil and gas investment levels are not currently good areas for motor growth, there are still several industry sectors that have outperformed – or that will outperform -- the market average in the short-term. For example, the U.S. housing market is expected to experience strong growth, as is non-residential construction spending, which bodes well for motors sold into construction, infrastructure, and HVAC applications.

盡管受制于石油和天然氣投資水平的重工業(yè)目前并非電機(jī)的增長(zhǎng)領(lǐng)域，仍有幾個(gè)行業(yè)表現(xiàn)亮眼，或者說(shuō)在短期內(nèi)好于市場(chǎng)平均水平。例如，美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)預(yù)計(jì)將強(qiáng)勁增長(zhǎng)，作為非住宅建筑開(kāi)支，應(yīng)用于施工、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施和暖通空調(diào)的電機(jī)銷(xiāo)售有著良好的勢(shì)頭。

A fast-growing population and rapid urbanization is also expected to cause motor shipments for food and beverage, water and wastewater, and power sectors to outperform the market average. In general the discrete manufacturing (machine builder) sectors are forecast to perform better than the process manufacturing (end-user) sectors.

快速增長(zhǎng)的人口和快速的城市化也有望引發(fā)食品飲料、水處理，以及電力行業(yè)的電機(jī)出貨量跑贏市場(chǎng)平均水平。總體而言，預(yù)計(jì)離散制造（機(jī)器制造商）行業(yè)比過(guò)程制造（最終用戶(hù)）行業(yè)的表現(xiàn)要好。

After accounting for more than 26 percent of revenues in 2015, IE1 (standard efficiency) motors are forecast to comprise 25 percent of global low-voltage motor market revenue in 2016, and 16 percent by 2020. These products are sold mainly in the emerging markets that have yet to adopt any type of efficiency regulations; however, many leading suppliers are still successfully selling these motors in the United States, Germany and other developed countries.

2015年，IE1（標(biāo)準(zhǔn)能效）電機(jī)占全球低壓電機(jī)市場(chǎng)總營(yíng)收的26％以上，預(yù)計(jì)2016年這一數(shù)字為25％，到2020年將下降到16％。IE1產(chǎn)品主要銷(xiāo)往那些尚未采取任何能效法規(guī)的新興市場(chǎng)，不過(guò)也有許多領(lǐng)先的供應(yīng)商仍然在美國(guó)、德國(guó)和其他發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家成功出售此類(lèi)電機(jī)。

As emerging and developed regions continue to push for more efficient motors, IE2 (high efficiency), IE3 (premium efficiency), and IE4 (super-premium efficiency) motors will continue to experience growth with revenue CAGRs of 1.6 percent, 4.8 percent, and 11.3 percent, respectively. It is worth noting, however, that IE4 motors accounted for slightly more than 1 percent of total motor market revenues. Therefore, it will take a long time for this technology to be considered a dominant customer trend.

隨著新興市場(chǎng)和發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)對(duì)更高效電機(jī)的繼續(xù)推動(dòng)，IE2（高能效），IE3（超高能效），以及IE4（超超高能效）電機(jī)有望持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)，預(yù)計(jì)年復(fù)合增長(zhǎng)率分別為1.6％、4.8％，以及11.3％。值得注意的是，IE4電機(jī)僅占電機(jī)市場(chǎng)總營(yíng)收的1%多點(diǎn)，因此，這項(xiàng)技術(shù)要想成為客戶(hù)的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)品，仍將有很長(zhǎng)的路要走。

Despite the ominous forecast for low-voltage motors through 2020, there are still ample opportunities for manufacturers to maintain -- and even grow -- their existing client base, through the adoption of the technological advancements end-users are beginning to require more frequently. Acquisitions and strategic partnerships, in conjunction with increased research and development investments, have allowed the leading motor manufacturers to better position themselves for the future. Even though the low-voltage motor market is not currently thriving, today’s technological developments could be the norm for motor users in the near future -- but only the companies that can adapt will be prepared for such rapid changes.

雖說(shuō)到2020年低壓電機(jī)的展望不佳，但通過(guò)采納終端用戶(hù)開(kāi)始愈加需要的技術(shù)改進(jìn)，制造商仍然有足夠的機(jī)會(huì)來(lái)維持——甚至擴(kuò)大他們現(xiàn)有的客戶(hù)群。在加大研發(fā)投入的同時(shí)，通過(guò)收購(gòu)和戰(zhàn)略合作，讓領(lǐng)先的電機(jī)制造商能夠更好地定位自己的未來(lái)。即使目前的低壓電機(jī)市場(chǎng)算不上繁榮發(fā)展，但今天的技術(shù)發(fā)展在不久將來(lái)可以成為電機(jī)用戶(hù)的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)規(guī)范——不過(guò)只有那些能適應(yīng)這種快速變化的公司才能有所準(zhǔn)備。